Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.022782 0.024775 0.026775 0.028929 0.031179 0.033458 0.035936
2025-07-27 0.018712 0.021825 0.025069 0.028683 0.032581 0.036641 0.041176
2025-08-03 0.016741 0.020535 0.024595 0.029224 0.034319 0.039722 0.045852
2025-08-10 0.014837 0.019070 0.023711 0.029108 0.035153 0.041659 0.049137
2025-08-17 0.013205 0.017747 0.022839 0.028870 0.035730 0.043207 0.051898
2025-08-24 0.011951 0.016748 0.022238 0.028848 0.036468 0.044867 0.054719
2025-08-31 0.010765 0.015736 0.021543 0.028647 0.036941 0.046176 0.057102
2025-09-07 0.009787 0.014904 0.021000 0.028568 0.037506 0.047549 0.059523
2025-09-14 0.008736 0.013909 0.020202 0.028135 0.037615 0.048366 0.061280
2025-09-21 0.007810 0.013009 0.019469 0.027733 0.037722 0.049149 0.062970
2025-09-28 0.006763 0.011880 0.018392 0.026864 0.037231 0.049203 0.063790
2025-10-05 0.006465 0.011739 0.018551 0.027500 0.038532 0.051340 0.067013
2025-10-12 0.005864 0.011174 0.018178 0.027511 0.039131 0.052723 0.069453
2025-10-19 0.005217 0.010506 0.017652 0.027319 0.039488 0.053834 0.071599
2025-10-26 0.004896 0.010286 0.017700 0.027843 0.040711 0.055965 0.074937
2025-11-02 0.004382 0.009736 0.017272 0.027730 0.041126 0.057117 0.077110
2025-11-09 0.003877 0.009156 0.016773 0.027498 0.041374 0.058051 0.079012
2025-11-16 0.003484 0.008720 0.016449 0.027477 0.041870 0.059277 0.081253
2025-11-23 0.003077 0.008221 0.016010 0.027282 0.042130 0.060202 0.083125
2025-11-30 0.002739 0.007808 0.015671 0.027204 0.042527 0.061284 0.085180
2025-12-07 0.002346 0.007254 0.015097 0.026783 0.042465 0.061789 0.086527
2025-12-14 0.002001 0.006745 0.014561 0.026393 0.042425 0.062308 0.087882
2025-12-21 0.001599 0.006064 0.013722 0.025549 0.041766 0.062039 0.088261